This section identifies critical factors that require special consideration during the allowable annual cut determination for the Kootenay Lake Timber Supply Area.
When the Timber Supply Analysis Report was completed in 1993, the potential impact of different assumptions on the timber supply forecast was tested by changing the values for certain critical factors in the analysis. Some of these factors changed the timber supply forecast greatly, particularly in the short term (the next two decades).
Since the analysis, local Forest Service and B.C. Environment staff have further investigated the assumptions that caused changes in the timber supply forecast, as well as other critical factors. Their perspectives are outlined in the following discussion. Other factors in the data package were tested and are discussed in the Timber Supply Analysis Report but were not considered critical to this review and therefore are not included in this discussion paper.
When reviewing these factors readers should bear in mind that the Socio-Economic Assessment assumes that a change in timber supply would create economic impacts that are directly related to the size of the timber supply reduction or increase (i.e. a 10 per cent increase in timber supply would result in a 10 per cent increase in forestry employment).
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The chief forester must carefully evaluate this information when reassessing the allowable annual cut and identifying where improved information is needed. We encourage you to do the same. |
