Help

Support Centre

Online Help

Prognosis^BC contains detailed online help. Unfortunately, this online help has not yet been updated to include changes that have been made between Version 2.0 and 3.3. To access the help facility, press the F1 key, click Help in DataProg, or select Help from the menu in SimProg and ViewProg. Updated online help will be available in Spring 2008.

Workshops & Training

One-day training courses for Prognosis^BC are usually available from the BC Ministry of Forests and Range each winter. Courses include model concepts and significant hands-on time with Prognosis^BC. For information about the training courses please contact Prognosis^BC Support or call toll-free at 1.866.515.3772.

Manuals & Tutorials

An updated user guide for Prognosis^BC Version 3.3 will be available in Spring 2008. The update will include a revised online help system and offline User Guide. In the meantime, the Version 2.0 online help (installed with Version 3.3) remains a useful starting point.

The Prognosis^BC Version 3.3 install pack includes an extensive Tutorial Guide (4.9 mb, Acrobat PDF format) that explains and demonstrates the use of all three Prognosis^BC modules. As well as automatic installation with the software, the Tutorial Guide can be downloaded separately from here, and contains the following sections:

Sections 1-3
How to install, run, and use the model; the history and development of the model, its software components, and how it is being applied in British Columbia; growth assumptions and how the model executes.

Section 4
Summaries of each of the model's three software components for users already familiar with the model.

Section 5
A self-guided 3-lesson tutorial for new users of Prognosis^BC on DataProg, a spreadsheet-style program for formatting the plot data you wish to project.

Section 6
A self-guided 6-lesson tutorial for new users of Prognosis^BC on SimProg, for controlling the model run and the scheduling of simulated silvicultural treatments.

Section 7
A self-guided 5-lesson tutorial for new users of Prognosis^BC on ViewProg a graphical reporting utility that allows the user to view changes in species composition through time and stand and stock tables.

Section 8
A self-guided 2-lesson tutorial for new users of Prognosis^BC on the Stand Visualization System (SVS).

The Adobe Acrobat Reader is necessary to open and print these files. The most recent version of Acrobat Reader is available free from http://www.adobe.com.

For more advanced users, the current USFS FVS Keyword Guide is included with Version 3.3 and can be accessed through Start > Programs > ProgBC, as well as through the SimProg Supplemental Keywords dialog. The Adobe Acrobat Reader must be installed to view the Keyword Guide.

Publications & References

Brochure

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Guidelines for Collecting Input Data for Forest Growth Models used in British Columbia to Support the Development of Silviculture Prescriptions.

Data collection field card.

Analysis of the Prognosis Regeneration Establishment Model Behaviour with BC Regeneration Data.

Examination of Large Tree Height and Diameter Increment Models Modified for PrognosisBC.

Possible Approaches for Relating Growth and Yield Models to Aerial Information. Part I--Literature Review and Data Sources.

Possible Approaches for Relating Growth and Yield Models to Aerial Information. Part II--Example Using Existing Audit Data.

Alexander, Robert R. 1998. Forest Vegetation on National Forests in the Rocky Mountain and Intermountain Regions: Habitat Types and Community Types. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, Colorado, in conjunction with Colorado State University. GT Report RM-162

Anonymous, 1984. Conference Proceedings - Growth & Yield and Other Mensurational Tricks: A Regional Technical Conference. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Ogden, Utah. General Technical Report INT-193. ISBN: 634.909 INT-193 1985.

Anonymous, 1992. A Review of Prognosis Version 6.1. Prepared by Sterling Wood Group, Victoria, B.C. for B.C. Ministry of Forests.

Anonymous, 1994. Validating Prognosis Against Permanent Sample Plots from the BC Interior. Report prepared by Sterling Wood Group, Victoria, B.C. for B.C. Ministry of Forests.

Beukema, S. J., D.C.E. Robinson, J.A. Greenough, W.A Kurz, and P.J. McNamee. 1994. Westwide pine beetle model: detailed description. Report prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, for U.S. Forest Service, FPM/MAG, Fort Collins, CO

Beukema, Sarah J., J.A. Greenough, W. Kurz and D.C.E. Robinson. 1996. FVS - Fire Model: Model Description. Prepared for USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Missoula, Montana, by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Suite 300, 1765 West 8th Avenue, Vancouver, B.C.

Beukema, Sarah J., J.A. Greenough and D.C.E. Robinson. 1997. Reference Guide for Fire Model Keywords. Prepared for USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Missoula, Montana, by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Suite 300, 1765 West 8th Avenue, Vancouver, B.C.

Cooper, Stephen V., Kenneth, E. Neiman, and David W. Roberts. 1991. Forest Habitat Types of Northern Idaho: A Second Approximation. USDA- Forest Service Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. GT Report INT-236. ISBN: 634.909 79 G 326 INT-236

Crookston, Nicholas L. 1990. User’s Guide to the Event Monitor: Part of Prognosis Model Version 6. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. General Technical Report INT- 275

Crookston, Nicholas L., J.J. Colbert, P.W. Thomas, K.A. Sheehan, and W.P. Kemp. 1990. User’s Guide to the Western Spruce Budworm Modeling System. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. General Technical Report INT- 274

Crookston, Nicholas L. 1991. Foliage Dynamics and Tree Damage Components of the Western Spruce Budworm Modeling System. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. General Technical Report INT- 282

Crookston, Nicholas L. and Albert R. Stage. 1991. User’s Guide to Parallel Processing Extension of the Prognosis Model. USDA- FS Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. GT Report INT-281.

Deitschman, G.H., P.J. Boyd and M.W. Foiles. 1974. Study Plan - Regeneration Development and Thinning Effects Phases of the Cedar_Hemlock Ecosystem Stand Modeling Study. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho.

Ferguson, Dennis E. and Nicholas L. Crookston. 1984. User’s Guide to the Regeneration Establishment Model - a Prognosis Model Extension. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Ogden, Utah. General Technical Report INT-161.

Ferguson, Dennis E., and Clinton E. Carlson. 1993. Predicting Regeneration Establishment with the Prognosis Model. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Ogden, Utah. Research Paper INT- 467.

Frankel, Susan J. 1998. User’s Guide to the Western Root Disease Model, version 3.0. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Albany, CA. General Technical Report PSW -GTR-165.

Hamilton, David A., 1991. Implications of Random Variation In the Stand Prognosis Model. USDA- FS Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. GT Report INT-394.

Hamilton, David A., 1994. Uses and Abuses of Multipliers in the Stand Prognosis Model. USDA- FS Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. GT Report INT-GTR-310.

Horn, Joseph E., E.L. Medema and E.G. Schuster. 1986. User’s Guide to Cheapo II - Economic Analysis of Stand Prognosis Model Outputs. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. General Technical Report INT- 211.

Kurz, Werner A. year? Introducing Forest Health Extensions of the Forest Vegetation Simulator into British Columbia: Some Recommendations. Prepared for B.C. Ministry of Forests, Victoria, B.C., by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Suite 300, 1765 West 8th

Kurz, Werner A. and S.J. Beukema. 1998. Review and Sensitivity Analysis of the Foliage Biomass Components of the Western Spruce Budworm Model. Prepared by ESSA Technologies, Vancouver, B.C. for BC Ministry of Forests, Research Branch, Victoria, B.C.

Kurz, W.A., S.J. Beukema, and D.C.E. Robinson. 1999. Simulating Root Disease Impacts in Selected Ecosystems in the Kamloops and Nelson Forest Regions. Report prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, for Forest Health Unit, Forest Site Management Section Forest Practices Branch, BC Ministry of Forests, Victoria, B.C.

MacKenzie, Evan, M.V. Ketcheson, P. Bauer. 1990. US Habitat Type - BC Biogeoclimatic Subzone Unit: Correlation for Prognosis. Prepared by JMJ Holdings Inc., Nelson, B.C. for Silviculture Branch, British Columbia Ministry of Forests, Victoria, B.C.

Marsden, Micheal, A., B.B. Eav, and M.K Thompson. 1994. User’s Guide to the Douglas-fir Beetle Impact Model. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, Colorado. General Technical Report RM-250.

Marsden, Micheal, A., C.G. Shaww III and M. Morrison. 1993. Simulation of Management Options for Stands of Southwestern Ponderosa Pine Attacked by Armillaria Root Disease and Dwarf Mistletoe. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, Colorado. Research Paper RM-308

Moeur, Melinda. 1985. A User’s Guide to the Canopy and Shrubs Extension of the Stand Prognosis Model. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Ogden, Utah. General Technical Report INT-190.

Moeur, Melinda and Albert R. Stage. Most Similar Neighbour: An Improved Sampling Inference Procedure for Natural Resource Planning. Forest Science, Vol. 41, No. 2, May 1995

Monserud, Robert A. and Nicholas L. Crookston. 1982. A User’s Guide to the Combined Stand Prognosis and Douglas-fir Tussock Moth Outbreak Model. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Ogden, Utah. General Technical Report INT-127.

Robinson, D.C.E. 1995. A Brief Description of the Forest Vegetation Simulation Model (FVS) and its Extensions. Report prepared for BC Ministry of Forests by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, Canada.

Robinson, D.C.E. and Werner A Kurz. 1996. Exploring Partial Harvesting Options in the Nelson Region Using Prognosis. Report prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, for Nelson Forest District, BC Ministry of Forests, Nelson, B.C.

Robinson, D.C.E. 1997. Prognosis Southern Interior (SI 1.0g) Geographic Variant Description. Prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, B.C. for British Columbia Ministry of Forests, Victoria, B.C.

Sargent, Paul and Evan McKenzie. 1997. Re-evaluation of BC Site Unit-U.S. Habitat Type Correlations for Prognosis and Tree Species Regeneration Predictions for the Nelson Forest Region Site Series. Prepared by JMJ Holdings Inc., Nelson, B.C. for BC Ministry of Forests, Research Branch, Victoria, B.C.

Smith, Stephen M. 1990. The Prognosis Model Adapted for Dry-Belt Douglas-Fir in British Columbia. Report prepared by Stephen Smith & Associates, Victoria, B.C. for BC Ministry of Forests.

Stage, Albert R. 1973. Prognosis Model for Stand Development. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experimental Station, Ogden, Utah. Research Paper INT-137.

Stage, Albert R., David L. Renner, and Roger C. Chapman. 1988. Selected Yield Tables for Plantations and Natural Stands in Inland Northwest Forests. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Ogden, Utah. Research Paper INT-394.

Stage, Albert R., C.R. Hatch, M. Rice, T. Renner, L. David, and J. Korol. 1996. Calibrating a Forest Succession Model with a Single-tree Growth Model: An Exercise in Meta-Modeling. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Moscow, Idaho.

Stage, Albert R. Nicholas L. Crookston, Bahman Shafii, James A Moore, and John Olson. 1990. Representing Growth Response to Fertilization in the Prognosis Model for Stand Development. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Ogden, Utah. General Technical Report INT-190.

Stage, Albert R. and William R. Wykoff. Calibrating a Model of Stochastic Effects on Diameter Increment for Individual-Tree Simulations of Stand Dynamics. Forest Science, Vol. 39, No. 4, November 1993

Stage, A.R., N.L. Crookston, and R.A. Monserud. 1993. An aggregation algorighm for increasing the efficiency of population models. Ecol. Modelling, 68: 257-261.

Stage, Albert R. and William R. Wykoff. 1996. Modeling effects of spatioal variation of competition and differing polt designs within distance-independent stand growth models. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Moscow, Idaho.

Teck, Richard. 1995. Keyword Reference Guide for the Forest Vegetation Simulator. WO-TM Service Center, USDA-Forest Service, Fort Collins, Colorado.

Teck, Richard, Melinda Moeur, and Judy Adams. 1997. Forest Vegetation Simulator Conference 1997: Adapting Distance-Independent Forest Growth Models to Represent Spatial Variability: Effects of Sampling Design on Model Coefficients -- Predicting Basal Area Increment in Irregular Stands: a Progress Report. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Moscow, Idaho. General Technical Report INT-GTR-000

Williams, T.M. and C.A. Gresham. Ed 1988. Predicting consequences of intensive forest harvesting on long-term productivity by site classification, Section IV Site Classification and Productivity in the Western United States. IEA/BE Project A3, Report No. 6. Baruch Forest Science Institute of Clemson University, Georgetown, S.C.

Wykoff, William R., Nicholas L. Crookston and Albert R. Stage. 1982. User’s Guide to the Stand Prognosis Model. USDA- FS Intermountain Forest and Range Experimental Station, Ogden, Utah. GT Report INT-133.

Wykoff, William R. 1986. Supplement to the User’s Guide for the Stand Prognosis Model - Version 5.0. USDA- FS Intermountain Research Station, Moscow, Idaho. GT Report INT-208.

Wykoff, William R. A Basal Area Increment Model for Individual Conifers in the Northern Rocky Mountains. Forest Science, Vol. 36, No. 4, December 1990

Wykoff, William R., Gary E. Dixon, Nicholas L. Crookston, Kathy E. Sleavin, and David L. Renner. 1991. Release Notes: Prognosis Model Version 6, Review Draft. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Ogden, Utah. Research Paper INT- N/A

Wykoff, William R. and Albert R. Stage. 1995. Simulating Management in Patchy Stands. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Moscow, Idaho.

Wykoff, William R. and Albert R. Stage. 1997. Adapting Distance-Independent Forest Growth Models to Represent Spatial Variability: Effects of Sampling Design on Model Coefficients. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Moscow, Idaho.

Zumrawi, A., A. Stage and B. Snowdon. 2002. Stand level scaling of a single tree distance independent diameter growth model: Interim calibration of Prognosis in the South-eastern interior of British Columbia. In: Crookston, Nicholas L.; Havis, Robert N. comps. 2002. Second Forest Vegetation Simulator (FVS) Conference; February 12-14, 2002, Fort Collins, CO. Proceedings RMRS-P-000. Ogden, UT: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.