Table of Contents
Framework for Adaptive Management:
Training & Education
An Introductory Guide to Adaptive Management for Project Leaders and Participants
Step 5. Evaluation of Results
In this step, data are analysed and actual results are compared to forecasts made in Step 1. The evaluation should explain why results occurred and include recommendations for future action. Outcomes can be the result of the management action, confounding factors not under your control, or both. The strength of your inferences (e.g., that the action lead to the outcome) depends on the design of the management experiment and monitoring program. Better designs permit stronger inferences. Negative or unexpected outcomes can be as informative as positive, predicted outcomes.
Results, whether expected or unexpected, must be documented and communicated, so that knowledge and experience are passed on to others facing similar problems.
5.1 Compare actual outcomes to forecasts made in Step 1.
- Evaluate the reasons underlying any differences between actual and forecasted outcomes. Were the objectives met? If not, why not?
- Evaluate to what degree tested hypotheses are supported by the results.
5.2 Document results and communicate them to others facing similar management issues.
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